I am spending this weekend in Orlando (the house of the mouse) at the RE/MAX National Convention. My main reason for coming was to hear a few key speakers that I trust and want to learn more from. The weather is fair but the knowledge I’m am getting will keep me on top of my game!
During class our instructor Chris (aka Tech Savvy Agent) spoke about Warren Buffett making comments this week stating to his share holders NOW is the time to buy. See, we never know when the bottom occurs until the housing market starts to improve and in Columbia, MO and many other parts of the country we are seeing some good indicators of better times ahead! Here is Warren’s article: -Sean
Bloomberg
Buffet Says U.S. Housing Market to Recover in “Year or So”
February 27, 2010, 10:53 AM EST
By Andrew Frye
Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) — Billionaire Warren Buffett said the U.S. will recover from the residential real estate slump by 2011 as demand for houses catches up with the supply that accumulated during the bubble.
“Within a year or so, residential housing problems should largely be behind us,” Buffett wrote in his annual letter to the shareholders of his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. “Prices will remain far below ‘bubble’ levels, of course, but for every seller or lender hurt by this there will be a buyer who benefits. Indeed, many families that couldn’t afford to buy an appropriate home a few years ago now find it well within their means.”
The worst housing decline since the Great Depression has drained profits from the nation’s largest banks and forced the bailout of companies including Citigroup Inc. and American International Group Inc. Record foreclosures flooded a U.S. real estate market already glutted with unsold property, causing housing starts to fall to their lowest in at least five decades, the U.S. Census Bureau said in a December statement.
“People thought it was good news a few years back when housing starts — the supply side of the picture — were running about two million annually,” said Buffett, 79, the chairman and chief executive officer of Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire, in today’s letter. “But household formations — the demand side — only amounted to about 1.2 million.”
Buffett built Berkshire into a $198 billion company through takeovers and investments in companies he believes have lasting competitive advantages and superior management. His deals transformed the company from a failing maker of men’s suit linings into an enterprise with businesses ranging from ice cream and underwear to power plants and corporate jet leasing.
‘Ridiculously Cheap’
Berkshire, which has a real-estate brokerage, a business that constructs pre-fabricated houses and units making products used in homebuilding, has suffered amid the downturn. Profit at carpet manufacturer Shaw Industries fell 30 percent last year to $144 million.
“He’s very deeply invested in this,” said Tom Russo, partner at Gardner Russo & Gardner, which holds Berkshire stock. “Across his industrial companies, he’s massively poised to gain” from a housing recovery, Russo said.
Buffett wrote today that his company should have made more purchases of corporate and municipal bonds last year because they were priced ”ridiculously cheap” compared with U.S. Treasuries.
“When it’s raining gold, reach for a bucket, not a thimble,” he said.
Pied Pipers
Buffett has used past letters to discuss plans for his successor, praise Berkshire managers and confess his failings. He’s written passages that compare investing to baseball, derivatives to venereal disease, and Wall Street bankers to Pied Pipers. Last year, he said the U.S. economy was “in shambles” after reckless lending caused the worst financial “freefall” he ever saw.
Buffett said this year that the CEOs and boards of directors of companies that failed during the credit crisis shouldn’t be able to pass blame to those below them. Boards should insist on CEOs taking full responsibility for risk, he said.
“If he’s incapable of handling that job, he should look for other employment,” Buffett wrote.
Shareholders weren’t the ones who botched the operations of some of the country’s largest financial institutions, Buffett said, “yet they have borne the burden with 90 percent or more” of their holdings wiped out in cases of failure. “If their institutions and the country are harmed by their recklessness, they should pay a heavy price,” he wrote.
The Oracle
The annual communications with shareholders have won Buffett a following of professional money-managers and amateur investors who have given him the moniker “the Oracle of Omaha.” Past letters have been compiled into a book for those who want to study Buffett’s pronouncements.
“It’s Moses coming off the mountain with the Ten Commandments,” said Gerald Martin, a finance professor at American University’s Kogod School of Business in Washington who has made Buffett’s letter assigned reading for his students. “It’s something we all look forward to.”
Buffett agreed to his largest deal last year when he arranged the $27 billion takeover of railroad Burlington Northern Santa Fe. Berkshire completed the acquisition, which Buffett described as an “all-in wager” on the U.S. economy, on Feb. 12.
Shares of Berkshire traded at about $15 when Buffett took control in 1965. The Class A stock closed yesterday at $119,800, its highest since October 2008. Buffett added Class B shares in 1996, and agreed to split them this year to help pay Burlington Northern shareholders.
Record Trading
When Berkshire replaced the railroad in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, it prompted record trading. The value of Berkshire shares changing hands that day amounted to the most for a single company in one day of trading on the New York Stock Exchange.
The annual letters typically give a preview of the company’s upcoming shareholder meeting, scheduled this year for May 1. Buffett announced a change in the format of the meeting in the last letter after shareholders at prior gatherings sought his opinion on sports, abortion and religion while asking few questions about Berkshire.
Berkshire had announced that this year’s meeting won’t include a separate event for non-U.S. investors. He used the session in prior years to scout for acquisitions outside the country.
–With assistance from Jamie McGee and Hugh Son in New York. Editors: Erik Holm, Rick Levinson.
To contact the reporter on this story: Andrew Frye in New York at afrye@bloomberg.net.
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dan Kraut at dkraut2@bloomberg.net.
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